Terrence Ross Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Terrence Ross

NBA · Player Props

Terrence Ross

G-F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 11, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Terrence Ross Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (34.2%).
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Terrence Ross will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Terrence Ross has sunk 38.4% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns.
While playing on the road, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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