Terrence Ross Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2023

NBA · Player Props

Terrence Ross

G-F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · May 9, 2023

Updated May 10, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Terrence Ross Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terrence Ross has attempted 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Terrence Ross has attempted 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing squads have compiled the lowest three percentage in the league this year (32.1%).
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted just 17.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (2nd-least in the league).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Suns.
The Nuggets have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Terrence Ross has attempted a mere 0.5 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.1 rate last year.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at drawing fouls on the road: 4th-worst in the league this year, averaging a measly 20.9 foul shots per game.