Terrence Ross Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Terrence Ross

G-F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Terrence Ross Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terrence Ross has attempted 10.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Terrence Ross has successfully made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted in all games this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 25 games when the Nuggets are the visiting team (31.0).
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nuggets may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a lowly 21.2 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Nuggets are the visiting squad (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Terrence Ross has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.
Away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Terrence Ross has attempted a lowly 0.6 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 2.1 mark last season.
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 21.6 free throws per game.