Terence Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Terence Davis

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Terence Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terence Davis has made 47.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this year.
The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Kings.
Terence Davis has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 29.4% more than he's converted overall this season.

Favors Under

Terence Davis has been on the court for a lowly 12.3 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 17.4 minutes per game last year.
Terence Davis has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Warriors are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).