Tari Eason Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Tari Eason

NBA · Player Props

Tari Eason

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Tari Eason Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tari Eason has attempted 7.7 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 8.5 rate last season.
In terms of shots from downtown, the Rockets's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).
Over the last 8 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has attempted 22.6 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Tari Eason should see a spike in productivity for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

This year, the other team has totaled 14.6 three-pointers per game (most in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, identifying this as a good matchup.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tari Eason has converted a measly 37.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 76.5 mark last year.

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