Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 9:02 PM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Talen Horton-Tucker has sunk 52.6% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 17.6% higher than he's converted from three overall this season while on his home court.
This matchup is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when the Bulls are away from home, opposing squads have averaged the 4th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (86.3).
The 2nd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker has attempted 3.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease plays for the Utah Jazz.
When playing away from home, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have attempted 22.5 free throws per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Bulls, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.