Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Talen Horton-Tucker

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has missed 6.0 shots from the field per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 75th percentile for misses .
The Jazz check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team has totaled the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (14.5).
Talen Horton-Tucker has attempted and missed 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's missed over the course of the season.
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, their opposition has attempted 26.4 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

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