Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Talen Horton-Tucker

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 2:33 AM UTC

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jazz will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 7.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Pelicans (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
Talen Horton-Tucker has successfully made an impressive 100.0% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 65.4 mark last year.
Talen Horton-Tucker ought to get a boost in performance in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has made 25.7% of his three-pointers this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Talen Horton-Tucker registers in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.5 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Jazz rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are away from home, the other team has totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (39.8).

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