Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magic · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 2:46 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 5thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
With the home court advantage, the Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker should see a spike in performance in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has sunk 40.1% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Talen Horton-Tucker ranks in the 18th percentile for 3-point ability away from his home court with a a subpar 25.0% rate since the start of last season.
In regard to shooting, the Utah Jazz's poor 47.2% field goal percentage while playing away from home rates 6th-weakest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup against Orlando is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 13th-lowest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (27.8%).
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Magic, struggling to get to the free-throw line.