Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Talen Horton-Tucker

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Talen Horton-Tucker has scored 15.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's scored over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Hornets is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5).
The Utah Jazz rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker has made 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this year without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Utah Jazz check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Jazz.
While on their home court, the Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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