Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Talen Horton-Tucker has averaged 15.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a good one for three-pointers; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 27th-highest three percentage in the league this year (36.1%).
The Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season away from home.

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While on their home court, the Magic have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the league).