Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Talen Horton-Tucker has averaged 15.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.4).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker has made 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while on the road.

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Utah Jazz check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.0 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Thunder are on their home court (11th-least in the league).