Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 1:51 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Talen Horton-Tucker has scored 15.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's scored in all games this season.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Spurs are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 28th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (45.3%).
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on the road, which ought to raise plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker has successfully made 88.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 14.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Without the home court advantage, the Spurs have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against San Antonio may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Spurs are on the road (12th-least in the NBA).