Talen Horton-Tucker Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Talen Horton-Tucker

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Talen Horton-Tucker has compiled 2.7 assists per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league by this metric recently.
The Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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