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Talen Horton-Tucker

Talen Horton-Tucker Assists
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz

Talen Horton-Tucker Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Talen Horton-Tucker has averaged 2.7 assists per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric in recent games.

The Utah Jazz rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Talen Horton-Tucker has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Jazz.

Talen Horton-Tucker will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production across the board.

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