Talen Horton-Tucker Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Talen Horton-Tucker

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Talen Horton-Tucker has posted 2.7 assists per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Talen Horton-Tucker has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Talen Horton-Tucker will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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