Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2026

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 9, 2026

Updated Jan 9, 2026 11:43 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has compiled a whopping 28.8 points per game this year, significantly higher than his 24.5 points per game last year.
The Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.4% field goal rate rates 4th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against Sacramento is a challenging one; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.2).
The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Kings have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Warriors.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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