Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 16, 2025

Updated Nov 16, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5).
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 14 games.
This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.1 free throws per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Golden State Warriors rank 10thworst in in the league with just 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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