Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 6, 2025

Updated May 7, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.2 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Stephen Curry has played 37.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry has made 5.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
When it comes to offense, the Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage settles in as the 5th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for scoring; the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (39.8%).
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

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