Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 8, 2025

Updated Apr 9, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has tallied 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Stephen Curry has converted 49.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing on the road.
Stephen Curry has averaged 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 5 games (29.2).
The Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Warriors's subpar 45.1% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Stephen Curry ought to see a decline in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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