Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has averaged 28.7 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry places in the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.5 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry has converted 6.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's feeble 112.7 points per game playing at home measures as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).
The Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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