Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 3, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has put up 30.9 points per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 4.9 higher than he's put up over the course of the year on the road.
Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Stephen Curry has sunk 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 45.1% field goal rate measures as the 5th-lowest in the league this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Warriors.
Stephen Curry will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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