Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has compiled 34.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 9.2 higher than he's compiled in all games this season on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry has made 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.6 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing away from home.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games as the away team.
The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Stephen Curry should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.

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