Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in the league as the visting team with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Warriors.

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