Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 20, 2025

Updated Mar 21, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has put up 28.9 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's put up overall this season.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.2 treys per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Stephen Curry has tallied 31.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Warriors's feeble 112.8 points per game on their home court ranks 10th-worst in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 23.6% on three-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, creating a tough matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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