Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has posted 28.3 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.9 more than he's posted overall this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry has made 7.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

The Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).

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