Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 6, 2025

Updated Mar 7, 2025 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has registered 28.9 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's registered overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 2.9 threes per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, resulting in a good matchup.
The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry has converted 5.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's converted overall this year away from his home court.

Favors Under

The Warriors have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team.
The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nets).
As a team, the Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: 5th-worst in the league this year with a measly 21.0 free throw attempts per game.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Stephen Curry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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