Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 12:25 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has put up 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.0 minutes per game this year.
The Warriors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New York Knicks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Knicks is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).
As a team, the Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: 6th-worst in the NBA this year with a measly 21.0 free throw attempts per game.
Stephen Curry should suffer a reduction in production across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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