Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 7:04 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has posted 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
Stephen Curry has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 11.3 shot attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Hornets, making this a tough matchup.
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Warriors's feeble 20.9 foul shots per game measures as the 6th-worst in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Stephen Curry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

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