Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 10:34 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has compiled 22.7 points per game on the road this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 4.8 clip, Stephen Curry's threes sunk have tailed off this year to 3.9 per game.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have shot 42.1% on field goals (8th-weakest in the league) against the LA Clippers, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year when the LA Clippers are at home (8th-least in the NBA).
Stephen Curry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production for all stats.