Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry comes in at the 97th percentile, averaging an enormous 26.0 points per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry places in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 11.5 per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.8 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free-throw line as the home team: 5th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season, tallying a lowly 19.9 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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