Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 17, 2024 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry comes in at the 100th percentile for 3-point attempts, averaging 11.8 per game this year.
Stephen Curry has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has made just 8.8 baskets per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.2 rate last season.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 30.6% on 3-pointers (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's poor 16.4 foul shots per game settles in as the worst in the league over the last 25 games.
Stephen Curry should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.