Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has successfully made 55.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 14.7% more than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Stephen Curry has played 32.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on shots from the field (best in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a good matchup.
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 10.2 mark, Stephen Curry's field goals drained have been reduced this year to 8.8 per game.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Trail Blazers).
As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: worst in the league over the last 25 games with just 15.8 free throws per game.
Stephen Curry will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.