Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry lands in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 11.9 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a favorable matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league as the visting team this year.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Lakers).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 10.2 clip, Stephen Curry's field goals drained have regressed this year to 8.8 per game.
As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the foul line recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, tallying just 15.5 free throws per game.
Stephen Curry will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.