Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has tallied 32.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
Stephen Curry has sunk 51.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry places in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The 4th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (84th percentile).
In terms of scoring, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 47.1% field goal rate as the home team measures as the 7th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Phoenix is a tough one; when the Suns are on the road, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (12.2).
While playing on the road, the Suns have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.