Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 98th percentile, registering an enormous 27.6 points per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry comes in at the 100th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 11.5 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.5 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.2 more than he's accumulated overall this year at home.
With respect to offense, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.7% field goal percentage with the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).
The Warriors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors.