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Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.4 minutes per game this year.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Stephen Curry has converted an impressive 5.7 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 4.4 mark last season.

The matchup against Denver may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage (28th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Stephen Curry has converted a measly 8.9 buckets per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.2 rate last season.

The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%).

The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

The Denver Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

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