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Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Stephen Curry has totaled an impressive 33.2 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 30.0 points per game last year.

In comparison to last year's 4.8 rate, Stephen Curry's three-point shots sunk have increased this year to 5.9 per game.

Stephen Curry has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry places in the 9th percentile for personal fouls, logging just 0.7 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games while playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one; they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs since the start of last season (16.7).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

This year, their opposition has come down with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season (10th-least in the league).

Stephen Curry will likely see a decline in output in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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