Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry rates in the 99th percentile, averaging a whopping 29.7 points per game on his home court since the start of last season.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.6 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Stephen Curry has played 34.5 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the 9th-quickest pace home team in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry ranks in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, logging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league this year has been the Warriors.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 12.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Thunder (preserving possessions that can result in added chances for offense).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line on the road: worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a measly 20.1 foul shots per game.
Stephen Curry will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production across the board.