Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 4, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has scored 33.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's scored overall this year.
Stephen Curry has averaged 34.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Lakers are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.4).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (15.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the foul line: worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 20.4 free throw attempts per game.

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