Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has averaged 34.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
This matchup is a hard one for field goals; when the Thunder are the visiting team, opposing squads have shot for the 6th-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (47.0%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, drawing a mere 20.1 free throw attempts per game.
This matchup is a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Thunder are on the road, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 25.9 foul shots per game this year (4th-most in the NBA).

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