Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 24, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has scored a whopping 29.6 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 26.0 points per game last season.
Stephen Curry has sunk an impressive 4.9 3-point shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.4 rate last year.
Stephen Curry has played 34.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season at home.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (31.5%).
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.1 foul shots per game.

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