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Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Stephen Curry has averaged 31.8 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.5 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.4 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Stephen Curry has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 93rd percentile.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a positive one; when the Lakers are at home, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs since the start of last season (21.0).

The Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Warriors.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Stephen Curry has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.4 higher than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.

The Golden State Warriors have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production across the board.

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