Stephen Curry Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has tallied 6.2 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 96th percentile.
Stephen Curry has played 33.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Bucks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.