Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2025

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Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 16, 2025

Updated Apr 17, 2025 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 11.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 33.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.5 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 48.2% field goal rate without the home court advantage places 3rd-most in the league this year.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 90.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for threes; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 9th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (30.6%).
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Spencer Dinwiddie will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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