Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 119.5 points per game away from home rates 4th-best in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
Spencer Dinwiddie has made 86.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Rockets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Spencer Dinwiddie has made 32.4% of his shots from the field without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 9th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup against Houston is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Rockets are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have posted the lowest three rate in the NBA this year (24.8%).
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Spencer Dinwiddie is expected to see a decline in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from home in this game.

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