Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 51.5% on field goal attempts (best in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, designating this as a good matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games on the road.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 7th-best in in the NBA on the road with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Spencer Dinwiddie has made 85.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, putting him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Spencer Dinwiddie places in the 8th percentile for scoring ability with a lackluster 33.6% rate this year.
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Spencer Dinwiddie will likely experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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