Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Spencer Dinwiddie measures in the 86th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc at home, logging 6.1 per game this year.
Spencer Dinwiddie has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
This year, opposing clubs have collected 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 13.3 rate, Spencer Dinwiddie's shots from the field have diminished this year to 10.8 per game.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (17.8%).
The 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
As a team, the Nets have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 18.1 foul shots per game.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.