Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Max Strus is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when Strus is playing on the road and facing fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a colossal 7.5 three-point shots per game (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Gabe Vincent is a tough one for drawing fouls; when facing opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted just 3.4 foul shots per game (20th percentile).

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