Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 2:14 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has sunk 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Simone Fontecchio has played 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 10.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.
The matchup against the Nets is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (19.5).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Simone Fontecchio has made 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
As it relates to scoring, the Jazz's subpar 107.6 points per game measures as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Nets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Jazz.
While playing away from home, the Nets have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (12.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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